Mercury vs. Dream WNBA Picks & Predictions – August 5 | Kelsey Plum & Angel Reese Stats Breakdown (2026)

The WNBA's Phoenix Mercury and Atlanta Dream are set to face off in a highly anticipated match on Wednesday, August 5th, with the game tipping off at 7 p.m. ET and televised on WNBA League Pass. This contest is more than just a game; it's a battle for playoff positioning, with both teams vying for a spot in the top eight. The Mercury, led by the newly acquired Kelsey Plum, are on a hot streak, having won four of their last five games. However, they face a formidable challenge in the Dream, who are determined to bounce back after a recent loss to Las Vegas.

In my opinion, the key to this game lies in the shooting dynamics. Both teams have struggled defensively, with the Dream and Mercury tied for the worst defensive 3-point percentage in the league at 36.8%. This opens up opportunities for players like Plum and Angel Reese to shine. Plum, in particular, has been on fire, drilling her projection in 11 of 13 games and averaging 29.8 points and assists. Her performance against the Dream in 2025, where she averaged 26.7 points and assists, makes her a key player to watch.

The Dream, on the other hand, have been inconsistent, with Reese emerging as a scoring threat. Reese, who averaged 22.0 points in her last three outings, has been a force to be reckoned with. Her ability to put up points and grab rebounds, as evidenced by her recent performances, makes her a top pick for this game. However, the Dream's 3-point shooting ranks towards the bottom of the league at 30.4%, which could be a weakness against Plum's hot shooting.

What makes this game particularly fascinating is the contrast in styles. The Mercury, with their recent hot streak, are looking to continue their momentum and make up ground in the playoff race. Meanwhile, the Dream are seeking their 11th home victory, driven by the desire to bounce back from their recent loss. The Mercury's recent success against teams with winning records and their ability to hit free throws could be a deciding factor.

From my perspective, the Mercury have the edge in this game. Their recent hot streak and Plum's exceptional performance make them a formidable force. However, the Dream's desire to rebound and Reese's scoring prowess cannot be overlooked. The key will be in how Plum and Reese perform against each other, with the shooting dynamics and free throw shooting potentially being the deciding factors.

In conclusion, this game promises to be an exciting contest, with both teams having their strengths and weaknesses. The Mercury's recent success and Plum's hot shooting make them favorites, but the Dream's desire to rebound and Reese's scoring threat could provide an upset. As an expert commentator, I predict the Mercury to win, but the Dream will put up a fight, making it a close and entertaining game.

Mercury vs. Dream WNBA Picks & Predictions – August 5 | Kelsey Plum & Angel Reese Stats Breakdown (2026)
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